hypothesis_generation
Bilimsel hipotez oluşturma, deney tasarımı ve test metodolojisi rehberi.
npxskills add vuralserhat86/antigravity-agentic-skills--skill hypothesis_generationLoading…
Bilimsel hipotez oluşturma, deney tasarımı ve test metodolojisi rehberi.
npxskills add vuralserhat86/antigravity-agentic-skills--skill hypothesis_generationLoading…
Bilimsel hipotez oluşturma ve test metodolojisi rehberi.
IF [independent variable/action]
THEN [dependent variable/outcome]
BECAUSE [mechanism/reasoning]
IF we reduce checkout steps from 5 to 3
THEN conversion rate will increase by 15%
BECAUSE fewer steps reduce friction and drop-off
| Kriter | Açıklama |
|---|---|
| Specific | Net ve belirsizlik yok |
| Measurable | Ölçülebilir outcome |
| Testable | Test edilebilir |
| Falsifiable | Yanlışlanabilir |
| Relevant | İş hedefine uygun |
**Hypothesis:** Changing CTA button from blue to green
will increase click rate by 10%
**Metric:** CTA Click Rate
**Baseline:** 2.5%
**Target:** 2.75%
**Sample Size:** 10,000 users
**Duration:** 2 weeks
**Problem:** Users abandon during onboarding
**Hypothesis:** Adding progress indicator will reduce
abandonment by 20%
**Success Metric:** Onboarding completion rate
## Experiment: [Name]
### Hypothesis
[IF-THEN-BECAUSE statement]
### Variables
- Independent: [What we change]
- Dependent: [What we measure]
- Control: [What stays same]
### Metrics
- Primary: [Main KPI]
- Secondary: [Supporting metrics]
- Guardrail: [Safety metrics]
### Design
- Type: A/B / Multivariate
- Split: 50/50
- Duration: [X] weeks
### Analysis Plan
- Statistical test: [t-test, chi-square, etc.]
- Confidence level: 95%
- MDE: [Minimum detectable effect]
| Hypothesis | Impact | Confidence | Ease | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7.0 |
| H2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6.0 |
| H3 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 7.7 |
ICE Score = (Impact + Confidence + Ease) / 3
Hypothesis Generation v1.1 - Enhanced
| Aşama | Doğrulama |
|---|---|
| 1 | Hipotez yanlışlanabilir mi? (Her zaman doğruysa hipotez değildir) |
| 2 | Sonuç ölçülebilir bir metrik mi (Click rate, Retention)? |
| 3 | "Because" kısmı mantıklı bir kullanıcı davranışına dayanıyor mu? |
Create or update AgentSkills. Use when designing, structuring, or packaging skills with scripts, references, and assets.
Create or update AgentSkills. Use when designing, structuring, or packaging skills with scripts, references, and assets.
Set up and use 1Password CLI (op). Use when installing the CLI, enabling desktop app integration, signing in (single or multi-account), or reading/injecting/running secrets via op.
CLI to manage emails via IMAP/SMTP. Use `himalaya` to list, read, write, reply, forward, search, and organize emails from the terminal. Supports multiple accounts and message composition with MML (MIME Meta Language).
Create or update AgentSkills. Use when designing, structuring, or packaging skills with scripts, references, and assets.
Create or update AgentSkills. Use when designing, structuring, or packaging skills with scripts, references, and assets.
Set up and use 1Password CLI (op). Use when installing the CLI, enabling desktop app integration, signing in (single or multi-account), or reading/injecting/running secrets via op.
CLI to manage emails via IMAP/SMTP. Use `himalaya` to list, read, write, reply, forward, search, and organize emails from the terminal. Supports multiple accounts and message composition with MML (MIME Meta Language).